
Statistical
Inference for Managers. Milo Schield. ASA JSM
6up
1up
Added StatLit.org webpage for
Jerome Cornfield.
The Improbability Principle: Why Coincidences, Miracles, and Rare Events
Happen Every Day by David Hand.
TOC:1 The Mystery; 2 A Capricious Universe; 3. What is Chance? 4 The Law of
Inevitability; 5 The Law of Truly Large Numbers; 6 The Law of Selection; 7
The Law of the Probability Lever; 8 The Law of Near Enough; 9 The Human
Mind; 10 Life, the Universe and Everything; 11 How to Use the Improbability
Principle.
What is
wrong with THE Introductory Statistics Course. Schield USCOTS
2015.
Statistical
Literacy roundtable
New classroom video:
Statisticians: Making our World a
Better Place. Schield 2015 USCOTS. 4.5 minutes
April 29: Congratulations go to Tyler
VanderWeele, winner of the 2015 ASA “Causality in Statistics Education
Award” for his book “Explanation in
Causal Inference” (Oxford, 2015). The award ceremony will take place at the
2015 JSM conference, August 813, in Seattle. Another good news, Google has
joined Microsoft in sponsoring next year’s award, so please upgrade your
2016 nominations. For details of nominations and selection criteria, see
www.amstat.org/education/causalityprize/. Source:
www.mii.ucla.edu/causality/?m=201504
Aug
4. "Willful Ignorance" by Herb Weisberg (picture above) is now
available!! [Editor: This book is my #1 pick for 2014.]
Weisberg's grasp of statistical history
is comprehensive without being overwhelming. But this is more than
just a history book on statistics. Weisberg has a point to make 
that statisticians have mismeasured uncertainty! And this mismeasurement
involves "willful ignorance"!!! These are fighting words for
statisticians who consider the proper measurement of uncertainty to be their
primary task. For more details on Herbert Weisberg, visit
his page. If you buy one
statistics book this year, buy this one!
Amazon US
Two Big Ideas for Teaching Big
Data: Coincidence and Confounding
by Milo Schield. ECOTS invited paper
downloaded 4,200 times in the seven months it has been
posted in 2014. See also Schield
slides presented at Big
Data panel.
"I hope that...statistical literacy
will...rise to the top of your advocacy list" Ruth Carver,
ASA 2012
Presidential Address
29% of US Freshman took stats in high school
(15% took AP Stats), so 14% took nonAP Stats. 2012 Am. Freshman
Spurious Correlations
(More than 9,000 computergenerated as of 5/2014):
For example: Number of people who died by
becoming tangled in their bed sheets correlates with Total revenue generated
by skiing facilities (US). [Great examples, but a high correlation
coefficient between two times series does not imply statistical significance
 much less a causal connection. See
Crosscorrelation. Editor]
2014 10: Highest Monthly Downloads: October had
45,000
downloads from this site: the highest number in our tenyear history.
Last year's monthly high was 26,000 in May. The biggest cause is
the download of the the PowerPoint demos to create various statistics and
models using Excel: over 67,000 YTD. The "CreateLognormalExcel2013"
demo has had 36,000 downloads so far this year.
2014 11: Highest Monthly Index Views @
StatLit.org:
November had 6,200 index views 
33% more than last year's monthly high.
Judea Pearl
(above) sponsors
ASA
Causality in Statistical Education Award. The committee is pleased to announce that a
gift from Microsoft Research will enable the prize to double in 2015. A
$10,000 prize or two $5,000 prizes will awarded this year.
For additional information about the award,
see the
2012
announcement, the
2013
winner and the
2014 winner.
Nominations and questions should be sent to the ASA office at educinfo@amstat.org.
The nomination deadline is February 15, 2015. Visit www.amstat.org/education/causalityprize/
for nomination information.
DEFINITIONS
"Statistical literacy is the ability to
read and interpret summary statistics in the everyday media: in graphs,
tables, statements, surveys and studies. Statistical literacy is
needed by data consumers – students in nonquantitative majors: majors with
no quantitative requirement such as political science, history, English,
primary education, communications, music, art and philosophy. About 40% of
all US college students graduating in 2003 had nonquantitative majors."
By Milo Schield in "Assessing Statistical Literacy: Take CARE" Ch 11 in
Assessment Methods in Statistical Education, pp. 133152.
Wiley 2010 Schield excerpts
Short introduction to Statistical Literacy.
For more on confounding, see Standardizing.
UK Parliament Briefing paper on Statistical Literacy
Statistical literacy: "the ability to
read and interpret statistics, and think critically about arguments that use
statistics as evidence"
United Nations
Development Dictionary (move slider to "s") [link broken/missing in
2012]
Statistical literacy: "understanding
the basic language of statistics (e.g., knowing what statistical terms and
symbols mean and being able to read statistical graphs), and understanding
some fundamental ideas of statistics."
GAISE College Report
STATLIT NEWS 
Search StatLit Site 


Yearly highlights of grants, new books, conference papers (ICOTS, ISI,
JSM, JMM), and events involving statistical literacy.

NEWS 
Newest StatLit.org web pages:

MOST IMPORTANT StatEd JOURNAL
ARTICLE SINCE 2002
If you read just one article,
read
Challenging the state of the art in postintroductory statistics
by Tintle, Chance, Cobb, Rossman, Roy, Swanson and VanderStoep.
"By introducing confounding as 'one of the two major themes in
statistical analysis' this paper is arguably the most important
paper in statistical education since 2002 when Howard Wainer
publicized 'The BKPlot: Making Simpsons' Paradox Clear to the
Masses'. The Wainer and Tintle papers mark a new
beginning of statistics education for the 21st century." Milo Schield,
StatLit Editor

ARTICLES/SLIDES POSTED in
2015 
2015 ARTICLES POSTED TO
STATLIT.ORG (by Month)
01
Challenge Statistical Claims in Media, MartinezDawson ASA 2013

2015 SLIDES and WORKSHEETS HOSTED
(by month)
07 2013 MSMESB: MS Business Analytics program.
Nargundkar.
slides

ARTICLES/SLIDES POSTED in
2014 
2014 ARTICLES POSTED TO
STATLIT.ORG (by Month)
12
AMSTAT: Causality in Statistics Education Award 2013.
ASA
News
12
Most
stat analysis not done by statisticians Simply Statistics 2013
12
Simpson's Paradox in Psychological Science by Kievit et al. 2013.
12
Statistical Literacy Explained by Hewson, Teaching Statistics, 2013
12
Headlines
in a MathLiterate World by Orlin, Huffington Post, 2013
12
RSS GetStats
Statistical Literacy Campaign and Initiatives. 2014
12
SIGMAAQL 2013 Newsletter. Bennet: Writing for general
public.
11
Call for Statistical
Literacy papers. 2014 StatEd Research Jrnl.
11
Relative Risk
Cutoffs for Statistical Significance. Schield 2014
10
SRTL9 Proposal: Informal Doorways to Modeling. Schield 2014
09 Limitations
and Uses of Convenience Samples Kriska et al. ASA 2013
09
Seeing how Statistical Significance is Contextual. Schield 2003.
08
Simpson's Paradox #30 Classic Problems in Probability. Gorroochurn
08
Simon Schild Maps: Bellenberg Germany & Benton County IA. 2014
08
Schild Family
journey from Bellenberg Germany to America. 2002
07
2013 MSMESB/DSI Annual Report
by Robert Andrews
07
Odyssey: Lifelong Statistical Literacy Schield 2014 ICOTS
slides
05
Two Big Ideas for Teaching Big Data Schield ECOTS 2014
slides
04
Teaching Big Data at
Georgetown. Sigman et al. Decision Line 2014
03
Augsburg TIDES
Proposal: Summary AACU Schield 2014
Full proposal
02
Augsburg's NSF Proposal:
Summary. Schield 2014
Full
01
Visualization of Economic Indicators.
Thompson+Wallace. ASA 2013.
01
Fusion & causal analysis in big marketing data. Mandel ASA 2013
01 Check
Distributional Assumption: Benford’s Law. Goodman ASA 2013
01
Challenge Statistical Claims in Media, MartinezDawson ASA 2013

2014 SLIDES and WORKSHEETS HOSTED
(by month)
11 Business Analytics and Data Science. Schield
DSI 2014 slides
10 Statistical Literacy+Coincidence. Schield NNN1
Workshop 2014 slides
10 Explore LogNormal Incomes Schield NNN2 2014
Slides xls
Update
10 Creating Distributions Empirically. M.
Schield. NNN3 Workshop
Slides
10 StatisticallySignificant Correlations. Milo
Schield. NNN4 2014
Slides
10 Segmented Linear Regression. Schield. NNN5
Workshop 2014
Slides
08 Top 30 Learning Goals for
Introductory Sociology. Persell 2010
List
08 Social Science Reasoning & QL Learning Goals Caulfield+Persell'06List
07 2013 MSMESB: Predictive Analytics
course. Levine et al.
slides
07 2013 MSMESB: Spreadsheet Analytics. James R.
Evans.
slides
07 2013 MSMESB: Implications of Big Data for Stat
Ed. Berenson slides
07 2013 MSMESB: Big Data & Statistics
Instruction. Berenson
slides
07 2013 MSMESB: Big Data in Stat 101: Small
changes. McKenzie slides
07 2013 MSMESB: Create Business Analytics class.
Kirk Karawan. slides
07 2013 MSMESB: Getting Analytics into the
curriculum. Karawan. slides
07 2013 MSMESB: Analytics and the Evolving
Workforce. LaBarr.
slides
07 2013 MSMESB: MS Business Analytics program.
Nargundkar.
slides

TOP DOWNLOADS: 2014 
Top 20 Downloads of Papers (or
slides if no paper):
7,860
Percentage
Graphs in USA Today Schield 2006 ASA. Total 100,052
7,043 Responsible Stats...to Shape Public Opinion by A Nelson
6up
2011
4,602
Two Big Ideas for Teaching Big Data
Schield 2014 ECOTS [**May]
3,769 Framework for Interpreting
Tables & Graphs Kemp & Kissane 2010
3,172
Statistical
Literacy in Adult College Students B. Wade 2009 Thesis
2,891
Quantitative Scholarship: From Literacy to Mastery U.Texas 2009
2,696
Statistical Literacy: A New Mission for Data Producers Schield '11
2,625
Interpreting the Cumulative Frequency
Distribution Winkler 2009
2,613 Check Distributional
Assumption: “Benford’s Law” Goodman 2013
2,596
Likert &
Visual Analog Scales Tom Knapp 2013
2,578
Presenting Confounding Graphically via Standardization Schield '06
2,423
Practical Approach to Intro PoliSci
Statistics Course Klass 2004
2,173
To Pool or Not to
Pool by Tom Knapp 2013
1,503
Statistical
Literacy Guide. Bolton, UK 2009
1,466 Teaching
Statistical Literacy by Haack 1978, Teaching Statistics
1,289 Statistical
Literacy Curriculum Design. Schield, 2004 IASE
Sweden
1,138
The Undetectable Difference: The “Problem” of pValues.
Goodman
1,055 Developing a Test of Normality
in the Classroom Jernigan 2012 ASA
1,054
Substantive significance of
regression coefficients. Miller 2008 ASA
991 Assessing
Students’ Attitudes by
Millar
& Schau 2010 ASA. 
Top Downloads of ExcelRelated Slides (All by Schield)
1
37,203 Create lognormal in Excel 2013.
6up
1up
Demo
2. 7,278 Model Logistic
Regression using Excel 2013.
6up
1up
3. 6,117 Using the Ztest function in Excel
2008 6up
1up
4. 4,008 COUNTIF
histograms: Excel 2013
6up
1up
demo
5. 3,905 Confidence
intervals with Excel 2010
Slides
Demo
Output
6. 2,577 TTest command
with Excel 2013
6up
1up
7. 2,475 Trendline 2Y1X with different scales.
6up
1up
8.
1,900 Create Pivot Tables using Excel 2008
6up
1up
9. 1,563
Using the TTest function in Excel 2008.
6up
1up
10 508 Regress
3 Factor using Linear Trendline Excel 2013 6up
1up
11 466
Create lognormal distribution Excel 2008.
6up 1up
Output
12 273 Model using Linear Trendline in Excel
2013. 6up
1up 
TOP
POPULAR STATLIT AUTHORS IN 2013 


GIGERENZER




TOP
ACADEMIC STATLIT AUTHORS IN 2013 



BENNETT



MOST POPULAR STATLIT PAPERS in 2013 

Percentage
Graphs in USA Today. Milo Schield 2006 ASA Proceedings.

Statistical Literacy: Uses & Abuses of Numbers by Andrew Nelson
6up

Presenting Confounding Graphically Using Standardization
by Milo Schield. 2006 STATS magazine.

Statistical
Literacy: A New Mission for Data Producers by Milo Schield. 2011
SJIAOS 
Univ. Texas San Antonio: Quantitative Scholarship  Final Draft
Press release 2009

Statistics for Political Science
Majors. Gary Klass 2004 ASA


OTHER RECOMMENDED INTRO BOOKS 

Victor Cohn (1989),
News and Numbers

Darrell Huff
(1954),
How To Lie with Statistics


Edward Tufte (1995),
Visual Explanations

ACADEMIC TOPICS 

Articles

S/L Books


Courses

Q/L Texts

RECOMMENDED ARTICLES 


Webaccessible articles
presenting a general background or overview. Statistical Literacy:
Quantitative Literacy:

Thirteen articles involving the W. M. Keck Statistical Literacy Project:

STATISTICS GUIDES 


Making
Sense of Statistics by Nigel Hawkes and Leonor Sierra. Section
1: If a statistic is the answer, what was the question?
Section 2: Common pitfalls. Section 3: How sure are we?
Section 4: Percentages and risk; knowing the absolute and relative
changes.

STATLIT ENEWS 
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2015 GENERAL INTEREST NEWS 

2015 Aug 3: RSS Statistics for
Journalists Training.
Storyboard

2015
July 19:
Added StatLit.org webpage for
Jerome Cornfield.

2015 Jun 21: Lynn Steen, RIP.
Obituary 
2015 June 9: RSS:
Call for Grant Ideas.
Submit by July 31, 2015.

2015 May 11:
Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics
by Richard H. Thaler

2015 Apr 28:
Statistics: P values are just the tip of the iceberg
by Leek & Peng in Nature.
"In practice, decisions that are made earlier in data analysis have a
much greater impact on results — from experimental design to batch
effects, lack of adjustment for confounding factors, or simple
measurement error. Arbitrary levels of statistical significance can be
achieved by changing the ways in which data are cleaned, summarized or
modelled." 
2015 Apr 25:
Are You Smarter than an 8th Grader?
Nicholas Kristof. "I
believe American high schools and colleges overemphasize calculus and
don’t sufficiently teach statistics. Statistical literacy should be part
of every citizen’s tool kit."
Copy 
2015 Apr 11: Statistical Literacy online course for
teachers (no credit): May 11June 29. Syllabus,
Textbook and Registration 
2015 Mar 18:
The first crack in the wall of significance testing
by Simon Oxenham. See
Cummings "Dance of the Pvalues" 
2015 March: "LOCUS
has developed a series of assessments designed to
measure statistical literacy."
"LOCUS addresses the assessment component of the
[GAISE] framework to provide items that assess statistical literacy in
the spirit of GAISE." LOCUS: Levels of
Conceptual Understanding in Statistics.
Amstat news March p. 35. Content: "Emphasis on
Practice and Process of Statistical Problem Solving: Formulating
Statistical Questions & Collecting Data (40%) Analyzing Data and
Interpreting Results (60%). LOCUS Assessments (two versions) Register at
http://locus.statisticsEducation.org for an account and start using the
assessments today. Funded by NSF in 2011 with $2.1 million.

2015 Feb 25:
Psychology Journal Bans Significance Testing
by Steven Novella.
See Cummings "Dance of the Pvalues" 
2015 Feb 19:
10 Modern
Statistical Concepts Discovered by Data Scientists
by Granville. "Here we highlight 11 major data science contributions
to statistical science. I am not aware of any statistical science
contribution to data science, but if you know one, you are welcome to
share." 
2015 Feb 12:
BASP is Banning NHSTP
by Trafimow and Marks.

2015 Jan 28:
Bob Hayden's
Review of Presenting Data.

2015 Jan 15:
Your demand for statistical proof is racist. Candice
Lanius in Cyborgology. "A demand for statistical proof is blatant
distrust of someone’s lived experience."
Copy

IMS UPCOMING PROFESSIONAL EVENTS
Statistics 

2016 July 2431:
ICME13.
Start planning for the 13th International Congress on
Mathematical Education (ICME13), July 2431, 2016, Hamburg
Germany. (FYI, just before ICME13, IASE plans a Roundtable
in Berlin
Topic Study Groups: TSG14 (Teaching and learning of
Probability), TSG15 (Teaching and learning of Statistics),
TSG23 (Mathematical Literacy). Also look at TSG6 (Adult
lifelong learning of mathematics) and TSG3 (Mathematics
education in and for work). Deadline for submission of
papers for TSGs = Oct 1, 2015

